Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.001348 0.001464 0.001589 0.001734 0.001898 0.002078 0.002293
2025-11-23 0.001207 0.001364 0.001544 0.001765 0.002032 0.002349 0.002759
2025-11-30 0.001101 0.001279 0.001490 0.001762 0.002108 0.002542 0.003138
2025-12-07 0.001004 0.001190 0.001418 0.001720 0.002120 0.002644 0.003405
2025-12-14 0.000935 0.001128 0.001368 0.001698 0.002150 0.002766 0.003705
2025-12-21 0.000868 0.001062 0.001308 0.001654 0.002142 0.002830 0.003925
2025-12-28 0.000786 0.000970 0.001208 0.001546 0.002033 0.002735 0.003888
2026-01-04 0.000729 0.000908 0.001141 0.001480 0.001977 0.002711 0.003955
2026-01-11 0.000693 0.000871 0.001108 0.001457 0.001980 0.002774 0.004170
2026-01-18 0.000666 0.000845 0.001086 0.001448 0.002003 0.002869 0.004448
2026-01-25 0.000731 0.000949 0.001253 0.001728 0.002495 0.003783 0.006370
2026-02-01 0.000688 0.000899 0.001195 0.001663 0.002431 0.003744 0.006459
2026-02-08 0.000650 0.000857 0.001152 0.001626 0.002423 0.003828 0.006871
2026-02-15 0.000633 0.000844 0.001151 0.001656 0.002533 0.004147 0.007881
2026-02-22 0.000609 0.000820 0.001131 0.001654 0.002585 0.004365 0.008725
2026-03-01 0.000578 0.000784 0.001092 0.001615 0.002567 0.004438 0.009235
2026-03-08 0.000555 0.000758 0.001064 0.001595 0.002580 0.004578 0.009966
2026-03-15 0.000528 0.000726 0.001027 0.001555 0.002551 0.004622 0.010445
2026-03-22 0.000491 0.000676 0.000959 0.001456 0.002399 0.004374 0.010004
2026-03-29 0.000464 0.000641 0.000913 0.001395 0.002318 0.004280 0.010017
2026-04-05 0.000447 0.000622 0.000891 0.001374 0.002314 0.004361 0.010605
2026-04-12 0.000434 0.000607 0.000877 0.001366 0.002335 0.004506 0.011461
2026-04-19 0.000472 0.000674 0.001001 0.001622 0.002944 0.006246 0.019310